Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 11.393975 12.763758 14.327831 16.267865 18.641288 21.493761 25.250776
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 10.687795 12.640845 15.076217 18.424533 23.062748 29.527089 39.778988
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 9.856641 12.079919 15.021699 19.374811 26.006733 36.466269 56.209398
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.695110 10.872103 13.852387 18.460084 25.910525 38.672156 66.048893
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.014378 10.208945 13.310958 18.314370 26.902451 42.953870 82.858218
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.451634 9.637506 12.810120 18.114709 27.710163 47.152286 103.289403
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.031756 9.222884 12.482577 18.122760 28.865963 52.530919 133.618074
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.724740 8.941030 12.318871 18.367607 30.521339 59.850148 183.863290
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.295513 8.437694 11.749809 17.805163 30.382348 62.586093 221.269171
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.022860 8.152392 11.504141 17.794137 31.429072 69.237192 304.124145
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.673124 7.722560 10.981524 17.191362 30.999792 71.228255 365.240265
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.301932 7.238026 10.332890 16.276348 29.668326 69.721035 391.125453
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.955814 6.791847 9.747644 15.484927 28.649916 69.501853 446.996280
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.084957 7.112913 10.503148 17.476605 35.208501 104.109442 2459.103298
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.024686 7.117980 10.700986 18.351739 39.211885 135.545096 136795.660764
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.739871 6.730127 10.151662 17.509042 37.840426 135.117114 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.569639 6.526553 9.928133 17.374642 38.680132 150.826417 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.406825 6.326455 9.695865 17.190414 39.321505 167.023017 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.279197 6.179670 9.553187 17.197845 40.639240 192.668922 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.185345 6.085921 9.504358 17.423749 42.847221 235.286245 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.016271 5.852510 9.168747 16.904627 42.104638 243.134071 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.912359 5.729213 9.041671 16.894443 43.377511 284.385261 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.758097 5.510348 8.712912 16.337323 42.287992 287.312077 NaN